Proposal to Continue Policy & Increase Level to 65p
Plans to continue setting a minimum price per unit of alcohol and to increase it by 15p will go before the Scottish Parliament for approval.
As part of a ‘sunset clause’ when Minimum Unit Pricing (MUP) legislation was introduced in 2018, it will end on 30 April this year unless Parliament votes to keep it.
A price increase is required to counteract the effects of inflation, and 65p has been selected as the Scottish Government seeks to increase the positive effects of the policy. If Parliament agrees, it will take effect on 30 September 2024.
Research conducted by Public Health Scotland and the University of Glasgow estimated that MUP had reduced alcohol-attributable deaths by 13.4% – 156 a year – and was likely to have reduced hospital admissions wholly attributable to alcohol by 4.1% up to the end of 2020 compared to what would have happened if MUP had not been in place.
As part of a review of the level of minimum unit price, the Scottish Government commissioned the University of Sheffield Alcohol Research Group, who are experts in this field, to undertake new modelling.
Putting their analysis in the context of current prices, this estimated that continuing and raising MUP to 65p could avert an additional 60 alcohol specific deaths and 774 fewer hospital admissions in the first year, compared to the price remaining constant in real terms. That is not to mention the significant public health benefits expected where alcohol is a contributor to causes of death and ill health.
A PHS evaluation also found there was no clear evidence of substantial negative impacts on the alcoholic drinks industry.
Background
Orders will be laid before Parliament on 19 February.
Public attitudes research published in September 2023 found that overall more people were likely to be in favour of MUP (43%) than against it (38%) – in line with previous Scottish Social Attitudes Survey findings on MUP at intervals between 2013-2019.
Interim business and regulatory impact assessment
Analysis of the consultation responses, undertaken by independent contractor ‘the Lines Between’
The Scottish Government’s response to the consultation feedback including a Ministerial foreword